UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Fitchburg State 3
  
Fitchburg State       
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 78.1320

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 A Wentworth Tech Conference of ( 4- 8, 75.7) 12- 8 221 H St Joseph (CT) Great Northea ( 7- 5, 78.4) 9- 8 304 H Colby-Sawyer Great Northea (10- 3, 82.3) 11-13 318 H Rivier Great Northea ( 6- 7, 79.0) 4- 9 319 H Suffolk Conference of ( 6- 7, 80.2) 11-22 323 A Lasell Great Northea ( 9- 2, 81.7) 8-11 325 A Massachusetts-Boston Little East ( 4- 8, 77.1) 7- 9 328 A Worcester State MASCAC ( 6- 6, 83.2) 3-17 331 H Massachusetts-Dartmout Little East ( 3- 9, 77.9) 14-10 401 A Rhode Island College Little East ( 1- 8, 70.5) 15- 6 404 A Framingham State MASCAC ( 4- 7, 82.6) 2-15 408 H Simmons Great Northea ( 3- 7, 75.0) 19- 6 410 A Massachusetts Maritime MASCAC ( 0- 8, 66.7) 415 H Salem State MASCAC ( 8- 1, 79.5) 418 H Bridgewater State MASCAC ( 4- 9, 82.0) 421 A Anna Maria Great Northea ( 1-10, 64.9) 425 H Westfield State MASCAC ( 5- 6, 87.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Wentworth Tech         12- 8       4     2           1.92
   221 H St Joseph (CT)          9- 8       1     0           0.92
   304 H Colby-Sawyer           11-13      -2    -4           1.88
   318 H Rivier                  4- 9      -5    -1    --    -4.42
   319 H Suffolk                11-22     -11    -2    -     -3.29
   323 A Lasell                  8-11      -3    -4           0.88
   325 A Massachusetts-Boston    7- 9      -2     1    -     -2.75
   328 A Worcester State         3-17     -14    -5           0.00
   331 H Massachusetts-Dartmout 14-10       4     1    +      3.45
   401 A Rhode Island College   15- 6       9     7           0.00
   404 A Framingham State        2-15     -13    -5          -0.21
   408 H Simmons                19- 6      13     3           1.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Rivier                  4- 9      -5    -1    --    -4.42
   319 H Suffolk                11-22     -11    -2    -     -3.29
   325 A Massachusetts-Boston    7- 9      -2     1    -     -2.75

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Massachusetts-Dartmout 14-10       4     1    +      3.45

Fitchburg State Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Adrian   Adrian
Albertus Magnus Fitchburg State Fitchburg State   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Albion Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Albright Albright tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Albright
Alfred Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Alfred State Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Allegheny Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Alma Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Alvernia Alvernia   Alvernia
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Anderson (IN)   Anderson (IN)
Anna Maria Fitchburg State Fitchburg State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Arcadia Arcadia   Arcadia
Augsburg Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Augustana (IL) Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Aurora Aurora   Aurora
Averett Averett   Averett
Babson Babson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace   Baldwin Wallace
Bard Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Bates Bates tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bates
Beloit Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Berry Berry   Berry
Bethany Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Bridgewater Bridgewater   Bridgewater
Bridgewater State Bridgewater State tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bridgewater State
Brockport Brockport   Brockport
Buffalo State Buffalo State   Buffalo State
Cal Lutheran Cal Lutheran   Cal Lutheran
Calvin Calvin   Calvin
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Carroll Carroll   Carroll
Carthage Carthage   Carthage
Castleton Fitchburg State tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Fitchburg State
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Cedar Crest Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Centenary (NJ) Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Centre Centre   Centre
Chapman Chapman   Chapman
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Chicago Chicago   Chicago
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps   Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Fitchburg State
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Coast Guard
Colby Colby   Colby
Colby-Sawyer Colby-Sawyer Colby-Sawyer  
Colorado College Colorado College   Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fitchburg State
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Fitchburg State
Dean Fitchburg State tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Fitchburg State
Delaware Valley Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw DePauw   DePauw
DeSales DeSales   DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Drew   Drew
Eastern Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Eastern Mennonite Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Edgewood Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Elmira Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Elms Fitchburg State Fitchburg State   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Emerson Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Fitchburg State
Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA)   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Endicott Endicott insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State   Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fitchburg State
Ferrum Ferrum   Ferrum
Framingham State Framingham State Framingham State  
Franciscan Franciscan   Franciscan
Franklin Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Fredonia   Fredonia
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Geneva College Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
George Fox George Fox   George Fox
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Fitchburg State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fitchburg State
Goucher Goucher   Goucher
Greensboro Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Gwynedd Mercy Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Hamilton Hamilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hamilton
Hamline Hamline   Hamline
Hanover Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Hartford Hartford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hartford
Hartwick Hartwick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hartwick
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Hendrix Hendrix   Hendrix
Hilbert Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Hood Hood   Hood
Hope Hope   Hope
Huntingdon Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Husson Husson Husson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Illinois Tech Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Illinois Wesleyan Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Immaculata Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Johnson & Wales Johnson & Wales insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Johnson & Wales
Kalamazoo Kalamazoo   Kalamazoo
Kean Kean   Kean
Keene State Keene State Keene State   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Kenyon Kenyon   Kenyon
Keuka Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Kings Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
La Roche Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Lake Forest Lake Forest   Lake Forest
Lasell Lasell Lasell  
Lawrence Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley   Lebanon Valley
Lewis & Clark Lewis & Clark   Lewis & Clark
Linfield Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Lycoming Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fitchburg State
Maine-Farmington Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Manhattanville Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Marian (WI) Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Marietta Marietta   Marietta
Maritime Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Marymount   Marymount
Marywood Marywood   Marywood
Massachusetts Maritime Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Fitchburg State
Massachusetts-Boston Massachusetts-Boston Massachusetts-Boston  
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Fitchburg State Fitchburg State  
McDaniel McDaniel   McDaniel
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Meredith Meredith   Meredith
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Methodist   Methodist
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia   Misericordia
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Fitchburg State
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian   Moravian
Morrisville Morrisville   Morrisville
Mount Aloysius Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Mount Holyoke Mount Holyoke insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mount Holyoke
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Mount St Mary (NY) Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Mount St Vincent Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Mount Union Mount Union   Mount Union
MSOE Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Nazareth Nazareth   Nazareth
Neumann Neumann   Neumann
New England College New England College insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) New England College
New Paltz New Paltz   New Paltz
Nichols Nichols insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Nichols
North Carolina Wesleyan Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
North Central (IL) Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Norwich Norwich Norwich   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Notre Dame (MD) Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Oberlin Oberlin   Oberlin
Occidental Occidental   Occidental
Oglethorpe Oglethorpe   Oglethorpe
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Old Westbury Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego   Oswego
Otterbein Otterbein   Otterbein
Pacific Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Pacific Lutheran Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Pfeiffer Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Plattsburgh Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Plymouth State Plymouth State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Plymouth State
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Potsdam   Potsdam
Puget Sound Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Purchase Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Ramapo Ramapo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ramapo
Randolph Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Redlands Redlands   Redlands
Regis (MA) Fitchburg State Fitchburg State   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Rhode Island College Fitchburg State Fitchburg State  
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Rivier Rivier  
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Rochester Rochester   Rochester
Roger Williams Roger Williams insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Roger Williams
Rowan Rowan   Rowan
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Salem State Salem State Salem State   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee   Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah   Shenandoah
Simmons Fitchburg State Fitchburg State  
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Smith Smith   Smith
Southern Maine Southern Maine Southern Maine   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southern Virginia Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Southwestern Fitchburg State insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Fitchburg State
Spalding Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St Benedict St Benedict   St Benedict
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Fitchburg State Fitchburg State  
St Josephs (LI) Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
St Josephs College (ME) St Josephs College (ME) St Josephs College (ME)   4- 0 vs 1- 3
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (IN) St Marys (IN)   St Marys (IN)
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
Suffolk Suffolk Suffolk  
SUNY Poly Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Susquehanna Susquehanna   Susquehanna
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Sweet Briar Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
TCNJ TCNJ   TCNJ
Thiel Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Thomas Fitchburg State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fitchburg State
Transylvania Transylvania   Transylvania
Trine Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Trinity Washington Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U New England U New England insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) U New England
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ursinus
Utica Utica   Utica
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Vermont State-Lyndon Vermont State-Lyndon   Vermont State-Lyndon
Virginia Wesleyan Virginia Wesleyan   Virginia Wesleyan
Warren Wilson Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Washington & Jefferson Washington & Jefferson   Washington & Jefferson
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
Wentworth Tech Fitchburg State Fitchburg State  
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Western New England
Westfield State Westfield State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westfield State
Westminster (PA) Westminster (PA)   Westminster (PA)
Wheaton (MA) Wheaton (MA) Wheaton (MA)   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Whitman Whitman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Whitman
Whittier Whittier   Whittier
Whitworth Whitworth   Whitworth
Widener Widener   Widener
Wilkes Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Willamette Willamette   Willamette
William Peace Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
William Smith William Smith   William Smith
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilson Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Wisconsin-Eau Claire   Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse   Wisconsin-La Crosse
Wisconsin-River Falls Wisconsin-River Falls   Wisconsin-River Falls
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Wisconsin-Stout Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Wittenberg Wittenberg   Wittenberg
Wooster Wooster insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wooster
Worcester State Worcester State Worcester State  
York York   York

PowerWise = 96


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Wentworth Tech  ( 4- 8, 75.7)    12- 8      -24.16      15.04       0.31         0.88            13.44
   0 H St Joseph (CT)  ( 7- 5, 78.4)     9- 8      -21.54      17.66      -0.31         0.88            15.19
   0 H Colby-Sawyer    (10- 3, 82.3)    11-13      -17.58      21.62      -0.31         0.88           -15.67
   0 H Rivier          ( 6- 7, 79.0)     4- 9      -20.88      18.32      -0.31         0.88           -18.55
   0 H Suffolk         ( 6- 7, 80.2)    11-22      -19.75      19.45      -0.31         0.88           -17.56
   0 A Lasell          ( 9- 2, 81.7)     8-11      -18.21      20.99       0.31         0.88           -15.67
   0 A Massachusetts-  ( 4- 8, 77.1)     7- 9      -22.83      16.37       0.31         0.88           -19.71
   0 A Worcester Stat  ( 6- 6, 83.2)     3-17      -16.67      22.53       0.31         0.88           -14.32
   0 H Massachusetts-  ( 3- 9, 77.9)    14-10      -22.00      17.19      -0.31         0.88            14.78
   0 A Rhode Island C  ( 1- 8, 70.5)    15- 6      -29.39       9.81       0.31         0.88             8.86
   0 A Framingham Sta  ( 4- 7, 82.6)     2-15      -17.29      21.91       0.31         0.88           -14.86
   0 H Simmons         ( 3- 7, 75.0)    19- 6      -24.87      14.33      -0.31         0.88            12.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -51.80

winning pts = 64.5428 losing points = -116.3463

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------